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Nakul Maharaj
Nakul Maharaj
Asked: 3 years ago2022-11-08T19:23:17+05:30 2022-11-08T19:23:17+05:30In: General Awareness

An urn contains m white and n black balls. A ball is drawn at random and is put back into urn along with k additional balls of the same color as that of the ball drawn. A ball is again drawn at random. What is the probability that the ball drawn now is white? 

An urn contains m white and n black balls. A ball is drawn at random and is put back into urn along with k additional balls of the same color as that of the ball drawn. A ball is again drawn at random. What is the probability that the ball drawn now is white? 

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  1. 1e4d2
    2022-11-07T00:24:13+05:30Added an answer about 3 years ago

    Let W1 (B1) be the event that a white (a black) ball is drawn in the first draw and let W be the event that a white ball is drawn in the second draw. Then 

    P(W) = P(B1). P(W| B1) + P(W1). P (W| W1) 

    = n/m + n. m/m + n + k + m/m + n. m + k/m + n + k 

    = m(n + m + k)/(m + n) (m + n + k) = m/m + n 

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Zeenat Das
Zeenat Das
Asked: 3 years ago2022-10-29T01:44:51+05:30 2022-10-29T01:44:51+05:30In: General Awareness

An urn contains m white and n black balls. A ball is drawn at randomand is put back into the urn along with k balls of the same colour as that ofthe ball drawn. a ball is again drawn at random.Show that the probability of drawing a white ball now does not depend on k.

An urn contains m white and n black balls. A ball is drawn at randomand is put back into the urn along with k balls of the same colour as that ofthe ball drawn. a ball is again drawn at random.Show that the probability of drawing a white ball now does not depend on k.
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  1. c84e4
    2022-11-11T19:56:18+05:30Added an answer about 3 years ago

    Let U={m white, n black balls}
    `E_(1)`={First ball drawn of white colour}
    `E_(2)`={First ball drawn of black colour}
    and `E_(3)`={Second ball of white colour}
    `therefore P(E_(1))=m/(m+n)and P(E_(2))=n/(m+n)`
    Also, `P(E_(3)//E_(1))=(m+k)/(m+n+k)and P(E_(3)//E_(2))=m/(m+n+k)`
    `thereforeP(E_(3))=P(E_(1))cdotP(E_(3)//E_(1))+P(E_(2))cdotP(E_(3)//E_(2))`
    `=m/(m+n)cdot(m+k)/(m+n+k)+n/(m+n)cdotm/(m+n+k)`
    `=(m(m+k)+nm)/((m+n+k)(m+n))=(m^(2)+mk+nm)/((m+n+k)(m+n))`
    `=(m(m+k+m))/((m+n+k)(m+n))=m/(m+n)`
    Hence, the probality of drawing a white ball does not depend on k.

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